On 3rd May 2018 there will be local elections held across England. Up for grabs will be seats on 34 metropolitan boroughs, the 32 London boroughs, 68 district/borough councils and 17 unitary authorities. There will also be elections for directly elected Mayors in Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets and Watford.
In the next few weeks, as part of the Nudge Knowledge series, we will be publishing an analysis of what might happen at the London Borough elections in May. That note will look at the effect of boundary changes, highlight which will be the key swing boroughs to watch out for, and make predictions as to which boroughs are likely to change hands either between parties or, as seems likely in some places, between party factions. The document will also examine what those changes might mean for the future policy direction in different boroughs.
However, in the meantime, we thought it might be interesting to provide a summary of all London elections since 1964, when the current London Borough councils came into existence. As such, we have today published a new briefing document on our Nudge Knowledge page. It provides a detailed backdrop to the coming elections, looking at trends over the past 54 years and serving as baseline to measure May’s results against.
Nudge Factory has worked closely on this project with our excellent colleague from Psephos Consulting, Alex Wilson. We are grateful to Alex for contributing his own in-depth knowledge of London local government and politics and have enjoyed this collaboration, putting the data together and drawing out some of the more esoteric facts and figures. It is nice to find someone as geeky as ourselves when it comes to elections!
Included in the briefing is an analysis of political control of boroughs across London since 1964; some interesting top-line statistics and facts; a look at numbers of candidates run, council seats won, and councils controlled, by political party; and identifies the best and worst years for each political party by borough, in terms of both vote share and number of seats.
We hope you find the briefing interesting.